Ezekiel Emanuel on the state of COVID-19 in the US and the ‘major issue’ of healthcare burnout

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It’s been over two years since the coronavirus pandemic emerged in the U.S.

Now, in the latter half of 2022, federal agencies have slowly been relaxing their COVID-19 pandemic restrictions. In mid-August, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention loosened its coronavirus guidelines as U.S. case counts fluctuated between over 121,000 to around 85,000 daily cases during August.

Healthcare Dive caught up with Ezekiel “Zeke” Emanuel — oncologist, bioethicist and a former White House health adviser — to talk about the state of COVID-19, the federal government’s policies on it, healthcare burnout and long COVID-19.

Emanuel is the vice provost for Global Initiatives at the University of Pennsylvania and co-director of the Healthcare Transformation Institute. He served as a special adviser for health policy during the Obama administration and, in 2020, was named to President Joe Biden’s Transition COVID-19 Advisory Board. He’s the author of several books including “Reinventing American Health Care.”

Healthcare Dive: You’ve written several op-eds recently about COVID-19, and the CDC announced in August that it would restructure amid criticism about its COVID-19 response. From your point of view, how are we doing with respect to federal regulations and COVID-19 this year?

ZEKE EMANUEL: Well, I think we can safely say this is how COVID-19 ends, not that COVID-19 is going away, but the American public has decided enough, and they’re not doing more.

You know, I walk around Washington, D.C. It’s the rare person who wears a mask. People are dining indoors. We’re over it, and we’re not going back. 

Some people like me, that’s not actually the way I live my life. But I think for the vast majority of society, that’s the way it is. We have changed our risk tolerance radically, and I think this has been under-appreciated.

A really bad flu season has 50,000 deaths. I think yesterday, I have the New York Times here, just yesterday there were 491 COVID-19 deaths. Okay, that’s 500 deaths times 365. That’s three times the number of deaths in a bad flu season. We’re fine with that. That makes COVID-19 the number four leading cause of death in the United States.

We’re willing to accept additional deaths to lead a normal life, where normal means no restrictions on where we dine and social activities and no need to routinely wear face masks. That’s where the country is.

And I’ll make a prediction here shortly, probably not before the midterm elections, but shortly after the midterm elections, that the White House effort on COVID-19 will be shut down and it will be moved to HHS. And that will be a recognition that we’re over it. And it’s not going to be super special.

And at some point, maybe in the early new year, The New York Times and The Washington Post will take their COVID-19 pandemic trackers or maps and it won’t be on the front of the website. So I think that’s where we’re headed.

I don’t agree with that, I’m giving you a description, not a preference. I will be lecturing this fall at Wharton. I have four HEPA filters going in my classroom for 140 students. We bought N-95 face masks. You have to wear it in class twice a week. I present on day-one to my students on why we’re requiring this. I present them the data about how well N-95s protect, how much better they are than surgical masks.

I haven’t gotten COVID-19. I’ve gotten over 80 tests. And I am determined not to get COVID-19. I think the one thing the country is not taking about is long COVID-19. It’s a serious, serious problem, which is why I don’t want to get COVID-19. We don’t know anything about it.

I mean, we know a little bit, and what we know is not good.

Will those with long COVID-19 be left behind? Is it up to providers to figure this out on their own?

EMANUEL: I do think over time, we’re gonna get answers to this, there is a substantial investment. I don’t think we’re going to get them as fast as we need them. That’s one of the things that really upsets me is that we don’t have the urgency we should be having on this, because it really is a major problem.

You see people who have fatigue, shortness of breath, insomnia, and their life is just ruined, nothing short of ruined. And it’s millions of people in this country. A recent estimate from the Brookings Institute is that between 2 and 4 million people are out of the workforce because of long COVID-19. That’s a serious, serious national emergency. And we are not behaving as if it’s a national emergency, and I think that’s terrible.